People who think the baby is Jamies: Jamie, Tyrion, Cercei
Jamie S7 E5 CERSEI lifts her hands from the chair and places them both on her stomach indicating she's pregnant. JAIME looks shocked.
JAIME: Who will you say is the father?
CERSEI: You.
Tyrion S7 E7 CERSEI cradles her belly and TYRION notices. She takes a deep breath.
CERSEI: That thing you dragged here, I know what it is, I know what it means. And when it came at me, I didn't think about the world. Not at all. As soon as it opened its mouth, the world disappeared for me, right down its black throat. All I could think about was keeping those gnashing teeth away from the ones who matter most, away from my family. Maybe Euron Greyjoy had the right idea. Get on a boat, take those who matter.
TYRION: You're pregnant.
People who think the baby is Eurons: Euron, Cercei, Qyburn
SO when Tyrion talks about the baby in S8E4, he means Jamie's and Cerceis baby. He does not know about the Euron Cercei "baby". He has no idea about the Euron baby as Euron, Qyburn and Cercei discuss it just moments after Daenayrys' boats are ambushed by Eurons fleet. And there is no way this information would have reached Varys and Tyrion so quickly. Also if he knew the baby's was Eurons, we can safely assume he wouldn't care that much as opposed to the baby being Jamie and cerceis.
ALSO,
When Tyrion goes up to Cercei to tell her to consider things with her baby in her mind, hes doing one of the two things:
- Genuinely thinking for the good of Jamie and Cerceis baby and advising her to think of the baby.
- Knows how Cercei keeps her men bound to her by lying and manipulation. Cleverly throwing in a baby shade aiming at Euron, to get into his head and if possible turn him against Cercei by talking about about Cercei and Jamie's baby. So that if Euron knows about a baby, he may back off support to Cercei. Tyrion knows his sister and probably knows Euron is in the Cercei basket for the sleazyness of it.
ALSO,
People who actually know if the baby is real or a thrones move: Cercei and Qyburn