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In The Shawshank Redemption, Andy told Red about his dream of the pacific ocean and at last when Andy is about to break out he told Red to visit a specific hayfield near Buxton to retrieve a package.

Now, Andy has been in prison for more than 19 years and he does not have any information about the outside world. So how was Andy so sure that the tree was still there after 19 years?

I know Andy hid that cache after he escaped from Shawshank. But how was he sure about the tree when inside the prison?

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It is safe to assume that he figures when he went in a 100 year old tree was there and unless suddenly people decided to bulldoze the trees down indiscriminately that it was probably still there as an old tree that has survived as long as it has. At the end of the day though, he did't know if they had cut the tree down or not, he was going on faith that it was still there like it was when he went in. Its more of the symbolism of something enduring like an old solitary tree that is there year in year out and long after we come and gone.

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